Space Demand

Space Demand

Office

Office Space Demand Forecast, Fourth Quarter 2023

By: Hany Guirguis, Ph.D., Manhattan College and Michael J. Seiler, DBA, College of William & Mary
November 30, 2023

The office market continues to face stiff headwinds as office utilization has remained relatively flat over the last year, as evidenced by mobile-phone location data and building-access records.

Industrial

Industrial Space Demand Forecast, Third Quarter 2023

By: Hany Guirguis, Ph.D., Manhattan College and Michael J. Seiler, DBA, College of William & Mary
August 31, 2023

Given current economic conditions and recent demand trends, the authors estimate that quarterly net absorption of industrial space will average 52.6 million square feet over the next two years. Read the full report from the NAIOP Research Foundation.

Seeing Past the Pandemic: Industrial Demand and U.S. Seaports

By: Brian Harper, Director of Data Science, Avison Young, and Aaron Ahlburn, Innovation Lead, Global Logistics, Avison Young
March 15, 2022

This research brief, authored by Avison Young, reviews historical trends in port activity, local logistics employment, and vacancies, rents and absorption rates in adjacent industrial markets. Building on observations from the historical data, a regression analysis of the relationship between changes in port activity, truck traffic and industrial space absorption demonstrates that changes in import volume have a substantial effect on occupancy in port markets.

A New Look at Market Tier and Ranking Systems

By: Maria Sicola, Charles Warren, Ph.D., and Megan Weiner, CityStream Solutions, LLC
March 17, 2020

Dividing and grouping the major metropolitan regions of the United States into ranked groups or “tiers” is a frequently used method to evaluate, prioritize and rank markets for investment. This project provides an understanding of the origins, methodologies and uses of market tier models.

Preferred Office Locations: Comparing Location Preferences and Performance of Office Space in CBDs, Suburban Vibrant Centers and Suburban Areas

By: Emil Malizia
November 7, 2014

Where do today’s office tenants want to be located? This comprehensive study, which combines expert opinion and accurate property-level data, provides reliable information about emerging location preferences across major U.S. office markets and the comparative performance of office space in CBDs, suburban vibrant centers — defined as amenity-rich, mixed-use, “live, work, play” locations — and typical single-use suburban areas.

Fuel

How Fuel Costs Affect Logistics Strategies

By: Leonard Sahling
February 2, 2012

Rising fuel costs have caused freight transportation to become the largest, most volatile cost component of companies' supply chain/logistics operation, accounting for about 63 percent of total U.S. logistics costs and 6 percent of GDP. With companies under mounting pressure to contain or offset the increases in freight transportation costs, supply chain executives have been tasked with figuring out how to squeeze more capacity and efficiency out of the existing systems.

Panama

Trends in Global Manufacturing, Goods Movement and Consumption

By: Curtis Spencer, President, IMS Worldwide, Inc.
September 1, 2010

This white paper looked at significant logistics drivers which may impact industrial space over the next 10 years, including an analysis of which ports will benefit by the expansion of the Panama Canal and how this will affect local, regional and inland industrial space in the distribution sector.

port

Logistics Trends and Specific Industries That Will Drive Warehouse and Distribution Growth and Demand for Space

By: L. Nicolas Ronderos, Regional Plan Association
March 1, 2010

This research project identified the logistics trends and specific industries that will drive warehouse and distribution growth and demand for space over the next decade (2008-2018). Research is based on employee ratios, employment reports, and logistics building inventory.

Predictors

Predictors of Commercial Real Estate Development

By: Andrew G. Mueller and Dr. Glenn R. Mueller, University of Denver
January 1, 2009

This research identified the economic indicators that drive new development of commercial real estate for each property type at the national and MSA level. These indicators will help with forecasting: future demand for space and leasing; competition in specific markets and across property types; and more accurate feasibility studies for future projects.

business

Assessing Key Employment Trends Driving Commercial Real Estate Development

By: Dr. Donald Jud, University of North Carolina at Greensboro
September 1, 2009

This report explains the relationship between key employment trends and the demand for office and industrial space. Drawing on Bureau of Labor Statistics data from 2000-2009, the research indicated: central-city counties vs. metropolitan fringe counties, the effect of the recession beginning in 2007 and factors influencing change in growth patterns.

Population

Measuring the Impact of Hispanic Population Growth on the Location of and Demand for Commercial Real Estate in the U.S.

By: G. Donald Jud, Ph.D., Bryan School of Business and Economics, University of North Carolina at Greensboro
May 1, 2008

The expected growth of the Hispanic population will impact the location and demand for commercial real estate in the United States. The report contains economic impact data for 50 states and major metropolitan areas.

Flat

Commercial Real Estate in a Flat World

By: David Pearce Snyder
November 1, 2007

This research examined how infomating, outsourcing, home-basing, off-shoring/in-shoring, e-learning and e-tailing - can be expected to impact the staffing and facilities (and ultimately, the demand for space) of five major classes of enterprise in the five sustainable markets: retail trade; professional, scientific and technical services; employment services; finance, insurance and banking; and transportation and warehousing.